Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.023944 0.025751 0.027635 0.029748 0.032056 0.034503 0.037297
2024-12-22 0.020450 0.022949 0.025690 0.028928 0.032662 0.036846 0.041910
2024-12-29 0.018332 0.021236 0.024542 0.028606 0.033492 0.039212 0.046461
2025-01-05 0.016757 0.019909 0.023608 0.028303 0.034146 0.041238 0.050584
2025-01-12 0.015340 0.018610 0.022546 0.027676 0.034250 0.042478 0.053692
2025-01-19 0.014573 0.018022 0.022271 0.027948 0.035425 0.045061 0.058624
2025-01-26 0.013787 0.017339 0.021805 0.027906 0.036139 0.047032 0.062820
2025-02-02 0.013255 0.016936 0.021654 0.028237 0.037329 0.049668 0.068070
2025-02-09 0.012555 0.016264 0.021098 0.027967 0.037653 0.051098 0.071667
2025-02-16 0.011981 0.015723 0.020677 0.027840 0.038143 0.052756 0.075674
2025-02-23 0.011429 0.015178 0.020214 0.027616 0.038458 0.054154 0.079350
2025-03-02 0.010995 0.014772 0.019917 0.027599 0.039056 0.055977 0.083779
2025-03-09 0.010464 0.014208 0.019376 0.027206 0.039081 0.056952 0.086966
2025-03-16 0.009926 0.013610 0.018757 0.026661 0.038838 0.057490 0.089471
2025-03-23 0.009516 0.013176 0.018352 0.026410 0.039022 0.058690 0.093135
2025-03-30 0.009132 0.012761 0.017954 0.026144 0.039157 0.059804 0.096711
2025-04-06 0.008690 0.012244 0.017380 0.025575 0.038772 0.060036 0.098754
2025-04-13 0.008498 0.012087 0.017336 0.025823 0.039711 0.062496 0.104903
2025-04-20 0.008243 0.011825 0.017118 0.025784 0.040169 0.064165 0.109733
2025-04-27 0.008088 0.011707 0.017116 0.026086 0.041203 0.066872 0.116680
2025-05-04 0.007809 0.011389 0.016789 0.025840 0.041292 0.067927 0.120567
2025-05-11 0.007577 0.011134 0.016548 0.025725 0.041595 0.069370 0.125302
2025-05-18 0.007338 0.010857 0.016264 0.025521 0.041727 0.070504 0.129502